Back in ‘08, gun and ammo wholesalers cunningly spread the meme that if elected president, dusky peacenik/wannabe murderous dictator for life Barack Obama would be comin’ fer yer guns, so BETTER STOCK UP RIGHT AWAY. As things panned out, although it provided a handy additional stimulus to the American economy, that didn’t happen.
Gamechanging alleged hottie wunderkind prospective VP Paul Ryan hasn’t exactly set anybody’s hair on fire except his and Mitt’s handlers and spinners so far. With a few days to go to the first presidential debate, and a few more to the VP one, Ryan’s currently damping down widespread expectations among the borg that he’s gonna ZING! Joe Biden into a quivering blob of hairplug-studded jelly:
GOP vice-presidential candidate Paul Ryan said Sunday he’s not counting on gaffes from Vice President Joe Biden when they debate on October 11.
“I don’t think he will. You know he doesn’t do that in debates. The gaffes - he’s kind of legendary for this - that’s not in these kind of situations,” Ryan said on “Fox News Sunday.” “He’s a very disciplined person when he speaks in these kinds of situations. He doesn’t produce gaffes in these moments. Those are when he’s off the cuff.”
As for his own debate preparation, Ryan said he’s not worrying about coming up with creative lines - he’s just going to be himself.
“I’m not really a line guy. I’m more of a gut guy,” Ryan said. “I believe in what I believe. I do what I do. And I really believe in the policies we’re providing, that we’re pursuing. And at the end of the day, I’m just going to go in there and be me.”
Ryan has been preparing with former Solicitor General Ted Olson, who is playing the part of Biden in mock debates.
Ryan said Biden has excellent debate skills, so his plan is not to try to rattle Biden, but to simply lay out the Romney-Ryan vision for America.
Nevertheless, during this tense run-up to the debates, if any tactic can be identified in the Rich Bastard/Granny Starver 2012 campaign at the moment, as Bette observes, it looks like they’ve decided they need to go hell for leather for the crucial outdoorsperson demographic to clinch this thing, so this last week Ryan decided it’s time to fulfil his early promise and basically steal Palin’s favorite lines:
“I might add that in small towns we don’t quite know what to make of a candidate who lavishes praise on working people when they are listening and then talks about how bitterly they cling to their religion and guns when those people aren’t,” she said.
Mitt Romney’s quest for a “defining moment” took a sharp-turn off-road this week. In an effort to reconnect with the 47% of “your tired, your weak, your longing to be free of Lyme disease,” Mitt promised the State of Virginia, specifically, that he will find a way to deliver them from the ravages of the deer tick, in a campaign mailer delivered this week.
The mailer (see below: credit: The Weekly Standard) declares the disease a “massive epidemic threatening Virginia” and says that the Republican presidential nominee and his running mate Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) will do more to fight the spread of the disease by “improving synergy” between agencies and “increasing awareness” among the public. It is a little-known fact that the disease, carried by tiny ticks that ride on whitetail deer, flourish in environments, such as Virginia’s, where “interdepartmental synergies” are particularly sub-par due to the failures of the Obama administration.
Unlike his opponent, Barack Obama, who rattles on continuously about jobs and boring stuff that affects everyone, Candidate Romney cares deeply about the .00002 percent of the population of battleground states afflicted by Lyme disease, where the tick-borne scourge threatens whole communities of TEA Party activists who conscientiously keep their health insurance up to date and never mooch off the taxpayers.
A few months ago, Mitt Romney supporters claimed that Ann Romney would be Mitt’s secret weapon. I had fun with the concept in a blog post written in the early days, when the wheels were just starting to come off the Ann Romney express. The recent conventional wisdom is that Ann has failed to deliver the goods, but her most recent gaffe just might spell curtains for Mitt’s campaign. Here’s Mitt’s secret weapon, detonating on Mitt’s ass as if it were Bikini Atoll:
While that tiny clip is out of context, the full video doesn’t provide any exculpatory evidence. Mitt has been on the ropes ever since his lack-luster Republican National Convention appearance… I can’t imagine that he could have expected that the knockout punch would have come from his wife.
Both Newt Gingrich and Karl Rove have written columns this week on what they think Mitt Romney should do in the first debate with President Obama. Both of them threw in passing references to Romney using humor as a tool.
“Romney must … set the record straight in a presidential tone—firm, respectful, but not deferential. And a dash of humor is worth its weight in gold,” Rove wrote.
Gingrich said, “No president in my lifetime has been as vulnerable to humor as President Obama.”
Mitt’s telegraphed intention is to factcheck President Obama on the fly during the first debate, so I expect him to bring a clown horn onstage, and each time he detects a mistruth, *HONK HONK* and a slap on the head with a pig’s bladder. “You were saying ...?”
Mitt loves to recycle material, so expect the reprise of such impromptu kneeslappers as:
• “I’m running for office, for Pete’s sake.”
• “Corporations are people.”
• “I’m unemployed, gissa job.”
• “They should have let Detroit go down the tubes.”
• “It would be helpful to be Latino. For one thing I’d save a fortune on spray tan.”
• “The President’s a n-n-n-nice man, just a totally incompetent and lazy lyin’ liar.”
• “Romneycare was my biggest mistake.”
• “Those cookies look like dogmess and probably taste like it too, what were you thinking?”
• “The chief of MI6 is at this moment in 10 Downing Street, just sayin’, al Qaeda.”
• “The Soviet Union is America’s number one global threat. Sorry, did I say ‘Soviet Union’? I meant China. No, wait, Iran. Aw heck, all of them. I’ve got money in all of them.”
• “47 percent of the country are shiftless scrounging assholes fit only for fertilizer.”
• “I like being able to fire people. Unless they’re my campaign staff and know where the skeletons are buried, in which case they get hush money bonuses.”
• “I feel your pain, though obviously not in a literal nor metaphorical sense.”
• “I’m going to cut your taxes hahahaha no I’m not. My taxes. I’m going to cut my taxes. Not that I pay any. Oops. Too soon?”
• “Companies are Soylent Green, my friends.”
• “I am SO going to win this thing.”
• “Quit whining and get on the roof.”
You can probably do far better than me in trawling Mitt’s past utterances that the po-faced liberal media mistakenly took as serious statements, only to be punked yet again because Mitt was just pulling our legs.
As an incentive, during next week’s presidential debate, I’ll offer a sammitch to whoever’s the first to spot a Mittens quip. It may be a bit stale by the time it reaches you, as it could take from then till November to figure out whether he was kidding or not.
It was with a heavy heart that Bishop Thomas Paprocki, of Springfield, IL gathered the faithful to him for a little pre-election instruction on the eternal damnation ramifications of voting for President Obama. In a news column in the Catholic Times and a companion video, Bishop Tom, appearing in his special-occasion red beanie, robes and bishop bling, counseled his flock that Democrats endorse “intrinsic evils,” therefore supporting Democrats puts a voter’s eternal salvation at risk. Snap!
The good bishop has studied both party platforms carefully and found that the Democratic platform is riddled with “intrinsic evil” like opposing the criminalization of abortion and endorsing equality for homosexuals; conversely, Bishop Tom found no “intrinsic evil” in the Republican platform.
The bishop repeatedly makes the point that he is not telling anyone how to vote, because . . . tax exemption! But, as a man of God, he does feel it incumbent upon him to warn the faithful that voting for a Democrat (notice he’s not naming names) will probably mean BURNING IN HELL FOREVER AND EVER AMEN!!!!1!
. . . a vote for a candidate who promotes actions or behaviors that are intrinsically evil and gravely sinful makes you morally complicit and places the eternal salvation of your own soul in serious jeopardy.
Not so fast with the “high fives”, Republicans you aren’t completely off the hook:
Certainly there are “pro-choice” Republicans who support abortion rights and “Log Cabin Republicans” who promote same-sex marriage, and they are equally as wrong as their Democratic counterparts. But these positions do not have the official support of their party.
This will apparently be running in the swing states against MittBot’s video attempt to *connect* with *humanoids*. Not so successful unless you too are drawn to insincere smiles and awkward expressions of *concern*.
And just to reprise the Obama campaign’s former zinger:
I’m so happy that the Dems have decided to mount a full on, effective offense against the Rethugs and their BS, especially Willard Mittens RMoney Howell III, that I’m just humming to myself.
Well, DAMN! You know how it is when you laugh so hard you start worrying about passing out? you can’t see for the tears in your eyes? can’t catch a breath before another wave of hilarity hits?
Well, that just happened to me when I landed on Politico and read Kevin Robillard’s piece on Mitt Romney’s plan to become a one-man, real-time fact check team during his upcoming debates with President Obama. I’m wondering “is he a buzzer, or perhaps, a gong man?” Or maybe, to show he’s up to speed, he’ll bring a little audio fx pad along. Or, maybe Ryan’s told him about the nuns’ trick? the old ruler across the knuckles.
I suppose Mitt thinks all of this is necessary because a) he’s losing, b) he’s a bully and c) he’s a lumberjack and he’s Okay (sorry, just a little Romney-esque campaign humor. Plebs never get this stuff.)
. . . I think the challenge that I’ll have in the debate is that the president tends to, how shall I say it, to say things that aren’t true. I’ve looked at prior debates. And in that kind of case, it’s difficult to say, “Well, am I going to spend my time correcting things that aren’t quite accurate? Or am I going to spend my time talking about the things I want to talk about?
Evidently, Mitt’s now made up his mind. He’s going to play Truth Enforcer and to hell with “what he wants to talk about” because, truth be told, he still doesn’t quite know what he wants to talk about . . . to tax or not to tax . . . that’ll come to him later “in quiet, private rooms” or “in the light of day” or maybe just riding in his car elevator. Who knows?
I’m guessing that this plan actually came crawling out of the maw of Team Romney who connected the dots between Paul Ryan’s trousers flambe performance at the Republican Convention and the big boost in Obama popularity after the world pegged Ryan as an even more audacious liar than his running mate. Ergo, if Romney calls Obama a liar, good polling for Romney should ensue, eh? It has Team Romney foolishness written all over it, IMO.
At this point, I can’t think of much that would be more entertaining than watching Mitt play “debate truth monitor” unless, of course, it would be watching him smirk his way through a concession speech.
President Bill Clinton, speaking at this year’s Democratic Convention, voiced many sentiments about the Republican Presidential Campaign that Democrats were all longing to hear. Among them was this hands-down winner:
When Congressman Ryan looked into that TV camera and attacked President Obama’s Medicare savings as “the biggest, coldest power play,” I did not know whether to laugh or cry. Key cuts that $716 billion is exactly to the dollar the same amount of medicare savings that he had in his own budget. It takes some brass to attack a guy for doing what you did.
Undeterred, Romney’s running mate, Paul Ryan gave a speech in Colorado yesterday that is no less “brassy.” Ryan’s job, yesterday, was to talk up Romney/Ryan foreign policy expertise (Oxymoron Alert) and bromance the military at the Air Force Academy and Fort Carson. Here’s what Paul’s been keeping under his “foreign policy hat” . . .
Ryan cited the protests in the Middle East as evidence that Obama’s foreign policy has failed there, saying it “looks like Tehran in 1979, but in about a dozen capitals throughout the world.” (Can’t get away from that Jimmy Carter meme).
You can turn on the TV and look and see how the Obama foreign policy is blowing up in our faces.
In Colorado Springs, home of the Air Force Academy and Fort Carson, Ryan promised:
We’re going to rebuild this military and stop apologizing for the greatness of this country.
Now I wonder why the Greatest Show Military on Earth would need rebuilding . . . ? Could it be that some Republican Commander-in-Chief and his merry men embroiled the military in not one but TWO neocon wetdreams that wound out for a decade? squandering blood and treasure and global credibility? Chickenhawk Ryan has big brass ones and a very short memory.
I’m no policy wonk but it’s pretty obvious to me that some of these “costs of war” resulting from our neocon escapades in Iraq and Afghanistan might, possibly, have contributed to anything that’s “blowing up in our faces” today . . .
Here are just some of the “costs of war” tabulated by costsofwar.org, as of January, 2012:
• Putting together the conservative numbers of war dead, in uniform and out, brings the total to 286,006. A more realistic minimal estimate is 298,000.
• Indirect deaths from the wars, including those related to malnutrition, damaged health infrastructure, and environmental degradation, may far outnumber deaths from combat. While these deaths are difficult to count due to factors such as lack of comparable baseline mortality figures, a 2008 survey by The Geneva Declaration Secretariat estimates that assuming a ratio of four indirect deaths to one direct death in contemporary conflicts would not be unreasonable. This would put the death toll at five times 181,000, or 905,000.
• Millions of people have been displaced indefinitely and are living in grossly inadequate conditions. As of March 2012, the number of war refugees and displaced persons—7,424,780—is equivalent to all of the people of Connecticut and Oregon fleeing their homes.
• The wars have been accompanied by erosions in civil liberties at home and human rights violations abroad.
• The human and economic costs of these wars will continue for decades, some costs not peaking until mid-century. Many of the wars’ costs are invisible to Americans, buried in a variety of budgets, and so have not been counted or assessed. For example, while most people think the Pentagon war appropriations are equivalent to the wars’ budgetary costs, the true numbers are twice that, and the full economic cost of the wars much larger yet. Conservatively estimated, the war bills already paid and obligated to be paid as of June 2011 are $3.2 trillion in constant dollars. A more reasonable estimate puts the number at nearly $4 trillion.
• As with former US wars, the costs of paying for veterans’ care into the future will be a sizable portion of the full costs of the war.
• While we know how many US soldiers have died in the wars (over 6,500), what is startling is what we don’t know about the levels of injury and illness in those who have returned from the wars. New disability claims continue to pour into the VA, with over 675,000 disability claims registered with the VA as of September, 2011.  Many deaths and injuries among US contractors have not been identified.
• The ripple effects on the US economy have also been significant, including job loss and interest rate increases, and those effects have been underappreciated.
• While it was promised that the US invasions would bring democracy to Afghanistan and Iraq, both continue to rank low in global rankings of political freedom, with warlords continuing to hold power in Afghanistan with US support, and Iraqi communities more segregated today than before by gender and ethnicity as a result of the war.
Now. Tell me again whose fault this is? and how you and Stench plan to make it better? Through strength? How manly . . .
Americans, if you have a heart or a mind or a soul or a conscience or anything left in your bank account, make sure, on Election Day, that the only way these clueless amateurs ever see the inside of the Oval Office is with a Visitor’s Pass. PLEASE!
Americans have more confidence in President Barack Obama to deal with a crisis in the Middle East than they do Republican Mitt Romney, though they are losing faith in the president’s handling of terrorism.
By a margin of 49 percent to 38 percent, respondents to a Bloomberg National Poll say Obama would be better suited to cope with unforeseen events in the volatile region.
The poll, coming two weeks after Romney assailed Obama’s response to protests in Libya and Egypt, offers little evidence the Republican’s foreign policy critique is boosting his candidacy.
Romney is seeking to capitalize on turmoil in the Middle East, ranging from strains in the U.S.-Israel alliance over a showdown with Iran to violent protests in the once-authoritarian countries that embraced democracy in the “Arab spring.”
Gingrich called Obama a “false president,” saying he has a propensity to shirk his duties.
“This is a man who in an age of false celebrity-hood is sort of the perfect president, because he’s a false president,” he said. “He’s a guy that doesn’t do the president’s job.”
Gingrich questioned whether Obama has the stamina and desire to be president.
“You have to wonder what he’s doing,” Gingrich continued. “I’m assuming that there’s some rhythm to Barack Obama that the rest of us don’t understand. Whether he needs large amounts of rest, whether he needs to go play basketball for a while or watch ESPN, I mean, I don’t quite know what his rhythm is, but this is a guy that is a brilliant performer as an orator, who may very well get reelected at the present date, and who, frankly, he happens to be a partial, part-time president.”
Mecklenburg County, Virginia is a tiny little hamlet situated on the border between Virginia and North Carolina. As of the 2010 census, there were 32,727 people, 12,951 households, and 8,962 families residing in the county. The population density was 52 people per square mile. A little under 50% of Mecklenburgers are 45 years of age or older. 60% are Caucasian and the median income for a family was $37,752. The per capita income for the county was $17,171. About 11.60% of families and 15.50% of the population were below the poverty line. Keep in mind, now, this is not a small town, it’s an entire county and Mecklenburg flies pretty comfortably under the global radar . . . . most of the time.
In a classic demonstration of “size doesn’t matter,” though, little Mecklenburg managed to set off a political shitstorm that has gone viral and now everyone knows that the Virginia State GOP has ordered Mecklenburg to clean up its FaceBook page—or else. The Mecklenburg GOP Chairman has “pleaded the First” and refuses to comply. The material that the State GOP finds offensive is a rather large collection of anti-Obama “photoshops”, some of which have already made the rounds (ie, Witch Doctor Obama) others that are obviously newer judging by topicality.
This all came about because a Republican senatorial candidate, name of George Allen (yeah, “Macaca” Allen—one and the same) made a whistle stop in Mecklenburg to catch up with the local GOP. Allen, a former senator and governor, held a business roundtable luncheon Monday that the Mecklenburg GOP committee had helped promote. ProgressVA, a group that supports Allen’s Democratic opponent, former governor Timothy M. Kaine, found the images among 100 “wall photos” posted on the committee’s Facebook page and took umbrage.
Allen, himself found the material “pretty racist” and as Rich Abdill of Wonkette counsels:
A moment of detached, objective analysis: If the party of famous, confirmed slur-slinger George “Macaca” Allen is saying you’re being kind of racist, you’re probably being extraordinarily racist.
These kinds of images have no place in political discourse — period. They are offensive, tasteless and should never have been posted anywhere, let alone a local unit’s Facebook page. The Republican Party of Virginia condemns this sort of imagery in the strongest possible terms. I am in the process of contacting our Mecklenburg County unit to inform them that this is unacceptable behavior from any local unit associated with our party.
This statement was, in due course, picked up by the monolithic Washington Post which took it upon itself to break the bad news to Mecklenburg GOP Chairman, R. Wallace “Wally” Hudson.
Wally Hudson was surprised to hear from a reporter that anyone had taken offense. The Washington Post recorded the exchange:
“If that group is that sensitive, I’m sorry, they’re just not human,” he said, chuckling. “It’s not American. If they’ve got a problem with it, we’re not going to change what we do.”
When told what the State Chairman, Mullins had said, Wally doubled down;
“They can do what they want,” he said, chuckling again. “I’m waiting for the phone call.”
Hudson said he posted most of the images himself, after coming across them online. He said critics were playing “the race card.”
“We know our regular readers, who are good conservatives, they’re gonna get a kick out of it,” said Hudson, 55, a retired airline flight crew member who became chairman in May. “The rest of them, if they don’t want to see it, they don’t have to look at it. We don’t consider any of it racist. . . . I’m not ashamed of it. I mean, good God, you should have seen some of the images they did of George [W.] Bush. It’s freedom of speech.”
Now, I hate racism as much as the next person and the material on the Mecklenburg GOP FaceBook page is, admittedly, sophomoric, crude, vulgar and pretty much generally disgusting. It’s actually astonishing that Wally was able to find all of this stuff on the internets—I shudder to think where he hangs out online. Nevertheless, in a spirit of tolerance and intellectual curiosity, I decided to discover what makes Mecklenburg tick. It can’t be Romney-love because, by my calculations about 98.9% of Mecklenburg are the 47%. Maybe it’s a southern thing?
What I learned, is that If everybody would just calm down about the political correctness of everything, there is also plenty of evidence in the Mecklenburg FaceBook photo albums that these are just plain folks—hardworking, fun-loving Americans who are getting a bum rap because they have a certain sense of humor about things that is lost on more cosmopolitan folks.
Tom Lehrer once observed that “political satire became obsolete when Henry Kissinger was awarded the Nobel Prize.” Despite the urban legend, this isn’t what prompted him to retire, as he explains here, where he also makes some observations on the problems of satire in the modern world, including: “everything is so weird in politics that it’s very hard to be funny about it.”
In recent US election cycles, where even weirder things are afoot and some folks’ grip on reality is extremely tenuous at the best of times, while others of us are having the boundaries of what we consider feasible in the political arena expanded by the hour, perils abound.
For example, some on the left have apparently taken Politico’s Roger Simon’s transparently snarky article from yesterday, “Paul Ryan vs. The Stench”, at face value, and seem to buy into the idea that Hottie McStudMunster is now literally in the habit of referring to his running mate as “Stench.” You can take issue with Simon’s abilities as a satirist, and even his omission of any overt flag to indicate that he wasn’t being entirely serious, but had his words appeared in The Onion rather than Politico, the situation might have been clearer. The fact that people thought this was a plausible story is far funnier than the story itself, but less funny than the absolutely OUTRAGED reactions of some of the commenters at Simon’s Politico article.
Now, there are times when it may suit people to wilfully misinterpret snark as truth. For instance, back in 2008, when Larry Johnson at No Quarter was furiously pushing the “Whitey Tape” fiction for all it was worth, Booman wrote a post that I’ve always interpreted as snark-tinged, which included this passage:
From what I understand, it is a tape of Michelle Obama criticizing the Bush administration.
How you’d write it:
Why did Bush cut folks off medicaid?
Why did Bush let New Orleans drown?
Why did Bush do nothing about Jena?
Why did Bush put us in Iraq for no reason?
How you’d say it:
Why’d he cut folks off medicaid?
Why’d he let New Orleans drown?
Why’d he do nothing about Jena?
Why’d he put us in Iraq for no reason?
How Larry Johnson wants you to hear it:
Whitie cut folks off medicaid?
Whitie let New Orleans drown?
Whitie do nothing about Jena?
Whitie put us in Iraq for no reason?
When I read that, I laughed. But it didn’t stop PUMAs and their ilk and fellow travelers taking it as Booman confirming that the tape actually existed, and posting selective quotes in every comment stream they could find, even while other well-meaning folks on the left quoted it as an explanation that Michelle Obama had been misunderstood, in the process implying that the tape did exist. A lot of good it did them in the end, but I’m sure you’ll still find some who believe it’s only a matter of time before it finally emerges on Fox, given that we’re apparently now at such a desperate stage in the election that the much-maligned Reverend Wright is again featuring in their output.
Speaking of butts: it turns out they can improve art! As some of you may have heard, I am a leading WineFoilSculptress, which is sort of like being Ann Althouse, only with better wine and less douchebaggery.
Anyway, the other evening, I constructed an armadillo. I used a ballpoint pen (Papermate, medium point) to define the ridges:
Meh. Something wasn’t quite right. Maybe the snout was too long? Or too high up? Tail too short? Anyhoo, I walked away for awhile, leaving it on the surface of my tiki bar.
When I returned a short time later and sat down on a bar stool, I felt something under my posterior and immediately leapt up, thinking I had accidentally squished a frog or giant cockroach. But Mr. C had moved the armadillo sculpture to the seat while I was gone so he could wipe up the cabernet I’d slopped on the surface of the bar during my drunken gesticulations as I was ranting about whatever topic we were ranting about previously, and I’d sat on the armadillo.
And you know what? NOW it looked EXACTLY like the roadkill armadillos that litter our highways down here:
Sometimes, I just notice a pattern with people. Take a look at this ad:
When i was asked to speak with Mitt Romney it seemed like a very important thing to me, and I wanted to put a lot of careful thought into what I would say. So, I went to the round table discussion very optimistic and interested in hearing what he had to say.
When he sat down, one of the first questions he asked was, he said “I understand there is a teacher here today, which one of you is a teacher?”
So, I raised my hand, thinking that’s a good thing, he’s interested in education, but it wasn’t a good thing. I felt like his view was a little old-fashioned and I was surprised by it. He went on to kind of lecture me about schools and how bad they are. He talked bad about the teacher’s union. He was talking about the importance of private schools and voucher systems.
At one point, I said to him, “I have an answer for that.” And he said, “I didn’t ask you a question.”
That, folks, was Sen. John McCain sarcastically deriding a bill intended to help veterans get jobs. It’s kind of weird for him to do that. But it isn’t surprising anymore. The atmosphere in Washington is frankly abysmal:
Barring a burst of productivity in the lame-duck session in November and December, the 112th Congress is set to enter the Congressional record books as the least productive body in the post-World War II era. It had passed a mere 173 public laws as of last month. That was well below the 906 enacted from January 1947 through December 1948 by the body President Harry S. Truman referred to as the “do-nothing” Congress, and far fewer than many prior Congresses have passed in a single session.
And for that reason, when President Obama makes the case that Washington needs to be changed from the outside—I’m appreciating what he’s talking about. It’s not just watching what’s going on right now—it’s thinking about what we could be dealing with if we, the voters, don’t make some changes down there.
Meet Dean Chambers aka The Unskewer. If you’re a Mitt Romney supporter suffering from the blues over Mitt’s nosedive in popularity, lighten up! This guy’s probably already your hero because he has discovered IT’S ALL TOTALLY A MISTAKE!!!1!1 The Mittster is actually leading Obama by 10 points, you just read the wrong polls, you loser lefty Obamabots!
So says Dean Chambers, the one-man band running QStar News, (which is another of Chambers’ aliases) a conservative internet news outlet somewhat to the right of Right. Chambers who lives at www.gop2112.com, churns out militant conservative screeds for the Examiner network (which pays bloggers based on the traffic they generate) and describes himself as a:
Politically incorrect, member of the Vast (?) right wing conspiracy, the TCOT community, working to make Obama a one-term president.
And he doesn’t disappoint on any of those counts.
Chambers has recently added pollster and political prognosticator to his resume, unleashing UnskewedPolls.com on American voters longing to see some signs of life in the Moribund Romney Campaign. And conservatives everywhere are hailing UnskewedPolls as the best thing since Conservapedia! mainly because they show Romney winning by a landslide and Obama’s approval ratings dropping like a stone.
Dean Chambers’ premise is that all other polls in the country (except Rasmussen) are wildly inaccurate because too many Democrats voted last time, therefore most pollsters believe that there are roughly 8% more Democrats than Republicans. Furthermore, pollsters rely on respondents reports of the political affiliation, which can change over the course of a campaign. Also, it’s easier to respond to a poll than to show up at the polls, so turnout is a factor. And it’s easy to see that this becomes mathematically complex in a heartbeat.
Still, Romney supporters have been whining, for some time now, that the 2008 election was a turnout anomaly and now that everybody knows how awful Obama is that pendulum is set to swing back and swing hard. That is why, they allege, the left-leaning polling community is over-representing Democrats and under-representing Republicans and Independents because they are sampling based on the last election’s exit polls. And that was before voters knew they would have Mitt to vote for, in 2012, and changed party? (all of a sudden, Republicans believe that they outnumber Democrats among registered voters.) This injustice on the part of statisticians working for venerable old polling houses has resulted, Republicans believe, in a crippling, self-fulfilling disaster for Mitt who could easily lose because he’s being depicted as a loser by the liberal, leftie SKEWED polls. Enter Dean Chambers to right that grievous wrong and skew them back.
So. How does that work? Since July, Chambers has re-weighted national polling data from organizations like Gallup, ARG, and the three networks, to fit the Rasmussen Reports partisan trends. Rasmussen’s most recent partisan breakdown shows that 37.6 percent of Americans consider themselves Republicans, 33.3 percent Democrats, and 29.2 percent Independents. Chambers has published 30 “unskewed” polls on his website and on examiner.com. In the last month, Chambers’ retooled polls have Romney up by seven or more points.
For good measure, Chambers also re-weights President Obama’s approval rating using the same Rasmussen partisan estimates. By his analyses over the last month, an average of 53 percent of Americans disapprove of Obama’s performance. I guess it’s hard for Chambers to grasp that job approval ratings might not exactly fit a partisan model.