Speech schedule showdown

What’s the takeaway from the speech schedule showdown and its resolution? Two narratives are emerging:
1) The president and/or his team got rolled, pathetically attempting a tough-guy maneuver and getting shown up as smarmy little sissies when forced to cave by a determined and/or crazy GOP.
2) The GOP proved once again that it is made up of bullies and psychopaths who engage in childish obstruction while America is a’swirl in the porcelain.
I’m not sure how to interpret it. The conventional wisdom is that the administration was obviously making a statement and shouldn’t have done so knowing that the House had ultimate control of the schedule. Maybe.
But it is a fact that something like this has never before happened in the history of the United States. For that reason, I’m a little reluctant to join the “he should have known” chorus.
I think Joy Reid summarized the dynamics very well:
The GOP base wants its leadership to not just oppose Barack Obama, but to go out of its way to obstruct, block, and if at all possible, show open contempt and disrespect for him. Republicans understand that their base will punish them for any hint of respectful, or worse, accommodating behavior toward Obama, and that they will be rewarded by their base for elevating the level of negative attention they give the president.
[snip]
And that brings us to the left. It turns out, that part of the reason the GOP leadership can take on board the idea that it will pay no price for crashing through rock bottom in its treatment of President Obama, is that there is a vocal part of the left, including black political leaders and “progressives” — who do it too. Obama has no backstop on the left, and no quarter that reacts loudly when he is attacked.
[snip]
I’m guessing the White House political team, if they’re true to form, is doing so because they have also made a calculation: that their “true base” — the middle — will give them credit for being the reasonable adults in the room, while letting Boehner look like the bully. And per the David Plouffe political philosophy, they probably calculate that they lose nothing with their true base — the middle — by giving in, while what they lose with the far left, which already hates Obama, is less important in the end because of the tiny relative size of the far left versus the overall electorate.
[snip]
That’s my unified theory of Barack Obama, the Republican Party, the left and this latest, really unnecessary flap over a speech by the American president before the Congress.
Sounds about right to me. I’m sorry that the speech now conflicts with the NFL opener. But there might be an upside to ceding the original night to the GOP debate: The brighter the spotlight shines on that motley crew of theocrats, sociopaths and imbeciles, the better the Democrats look in comparison.
Posted by Betty Cracker on 09/01/11 at 10:15 AM • Permalink
I subscribe to the bitch slap theory of politics (Yglesias’s). This argues that the voters, as a general rule, prefer the guy who bitch slaps his opponents to the one who gets slapped. I subscribe to it because, more or less, all American voters partake of the basic American preference for winners and bullies over reasonable people.
Its true that the three basic culture groups in the US: far right, center, and liberal/left (we don’t have a real left at all) may have slightly different takes on each individual incident but that’s because they have different stakes in each player.
There was a recent very good essay about coalition politics somewhere—I forgot to bookmark it—which argued that the Obama team simply refuses to respect coalition needs and that has led to a rolling dissaffection within Obama’s coalition. I agree with that assessment of what has happened. Its not that Obama lost any individual battle or didn’t advance the ball incrementally on many important things. He did. But every single one of his high profile showdowns with his (and our) enemies has generally involved his team laying down markers and then letting the markers be thrown off the table in some incredibly public way. Women’s rights, gay rights, tax policy. I get the legislative imperative here. But I think to the extent that he is dealing with two different types of coalitions (coalitions of voters/viewers and coalitions within the legislative body) Obama has tended to continuously scant and neglect his voters/viewers. That means that those people don’t have his back when he is attacked. They should, but they’ve been told time and again that the President “has this” and doesn’t need their help. That the President’s strategy will unfold in time. Is very subtle. Requires sacrifice from X, Y, or Z. But the payoff time never comes.
I agree with you that all members of the democratic coalition ought to rally around the President and make the Republicans look bad. We ought to hammer this home—disrespect for the President is disrespect to the office and to the whole country. I take this shit very personally, myself. But thats because I identify with the President as my President. Other people’s experience of working with the President on a notional “team” really varies.
I guess I’d also like to say that loyalty has to be cultivated and rewarded. That’s just the fact of politics and romance. Obama and Michelle (from whom I receive almost daily communications these days) are trying to cultivate that loyalty and personal identification. They recognize its a natural part of the process of getting back into power. But its also a natural part of that identification process that when Obama is attacked *his voters feel attacked,* when Obama is disrespected his voters are being disrespected. You can’t expect people to get all excited and overcommitted emotionally to protecting Obama and have Obama fail to get his ducks in a row in handling the fall out from yet another failed ploy. At a certain point the voter stops being willing to have sand kicked in the face of his chosen leader. He may get super angry with the sand kicker. Or he may withdraw emotionally from what he sees as a losing situation and stop identifying with Obama.
I believe it will work out to Obama’s (and the democratic party’s) benefit. I hope so. But I think the Obama team needs to bring in a series of psychologists used to dealing with dysfunctional families of adult siblings—especially those who deal with issues of inheritance and parental care—because that’s basically what’s going on. And the Obama people really don’t seem to get it.
aimai
Comment by aimai on
09/01/11 at 11:05 AM